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September 9, 2026
10 min read

The Only Way to Stop Spam Calls Is to Make Them Expensive

What STIR/SHAKEN caller ID grades actually predict about spam, which grades are safe to block, and why blocking a C grade is the most expensive mistake a business can make.

Greet Team
Greet Team
Customer Success
A mobile phone showing an incoming call from an unknown number

Current spam calls cost a fifth of a cent to place. Caller ID attestation enforcement is about to make that same call as much as a hundred times more expensive to place for attackers. At the peak of a targeted campaign, the majority of a business's inbound calls can be spam for days on end. Every spam call interrupts someone mid-task, mid-appointment, mid-conversation with a paying customer. Greet does not charge our customers for spam calls we cover all costs associated with mitigating these attacks. Over time we have built a ever sophisticed system to detect and block these calls automatically for our users. We are publishing the below anonomized data so others can learn from it.

The phone network was built to trust whoever calls

One of the reasons spam calls are so prevalent and cheap is because the phone network was built to trust whoever calls. Meaning any caller when placing a call can simply tell the phone network what number they are calling from and the phone network will display it. Spam callers use this to claim the phone call is coming from a phone number in your area so you are more likely to answer.

Modern spam calls use auto-dialers to dial thousands of numbers, when a user picks up the phone a pre-recorded auto message plays or the call is directed to a human operator that reads from a script. 48.9 billion robocalls in the United States in 2020, which has caused a collapse in how often anyone answers a number outside their contact list with one exception - businesses. Businesses answer all but the most suspicious calls automated systems detect and flag.

A decade of cat and mouse

Every defense so far has worked on the same principle-identify the bad number, then stop it.

  1. 2013The blocklist era begins. The FTC's Robocall Challenge awards Nomorobo a share of the prize for a simultaneous-ring service that answers suspect calls and hangs up before your phone rings twice. Blocklists work-as long as the caller reuses numbers.
  2. 2015-19Analytics and labels. Carriers and apps start scoring calls in real time and stamping "Scam Likely" on the ones that look wrong. Better, but still a guess made after the number appears, and still built on reputation the caller can discard.
  3. 2015+Neighbor spoofing. Rotate a fresh local number for every single call. A blocklist is now permanently one call behind, and the number on your screen looks like it belongs to someone down the street-because it does.
  4. 2021STIR/SHAKEN attestation. A different approach: instead of guessing whether the caller is trustworthy, require phone providers verify ownership of the callees phone number and assign a grade A, B, or C.
  5. 2027STIR/SHAKEN automatic blocking. Phone network operators will start blocking calls without attestation.

Where the grade comes from

STIR/SHAKEN is the caller-ID authentication system that US and Canadian carriers have been required to run since 2021. When a call is placed, the carrier signs it with a digital certificate and attaches a grade describing how well it knows the caller. The receiving carrier checks that signature and passes the result along with the call.

The grade answers two separate questions: do we know who this customer is? and do they own the number showing on your screen?

GradeWhat it meansShare of Greet call volumeAssumed riskSpam rate we measure
A The carrier knows this customer and confirms they own the number on your screen. Nothing about the call is in question. Typical callerA regular customer on her own mobile, calling to say she'll be five minutes late for her appointment. 55%just over half of all inbound Very low 1%
B The carrier knows this customer but cannot confirm they are entitled to display that number. This is what caller-ID spoofing looks like from inside the network. Typical callerA recorded voice claiming your Google Business listing "isn't verified" and asking you to press 0-calling from a number in your own area code that belongs to someone else. 36%more than a third of all inbound Very high 91%the highest spam rate of any grade
C The call was handed over from another network and passed along as-is. The carrier is not making a claim either way. Routine for internet phone services, office phone systems and international routing. Typical callerA customer calling through a calling app, or from an office line that forwards elsewhere, to move an appointment. 4%a small but real share High 1%
Failed The call was signed, but the signature did not survive verification-it was invalid, expired or tampered with in transit. Typical callerThe same listing-verification scam, this time with credentials that didn't hold up. 4%uncommon on most lines Very high 95%rare, but almost never a customer
No grade The call arrived with no signature at all-usually because it started on an older network that predates the system, or crossed one on the way. Typical callerGenuinely mixed. Too rare on most lines to draw a conclusion from. <1%a rounding error in this sample Unknown n/atoo rare here to rate

Every inbound call, from the grade it arrived with to what the caller turned out to want. Ribbon thickness is share of total call volume, rounded. Follow the red: almost all of it leaves the B row.

A — 55% of all inbound calls B — 36% of all inbound calls C — 4% of all inbound calls Failed — 4% of all inbound calls No grade — <1% of all inbound calls A → Real customer — 47% of all inbound (85% of A calls) A → Silent / hung up — 7% of all inbound (13% of A calls) A → Spam — about 1% of all inbound (1% of A calls) B → Real customer — under 1% of all inbound (1% of B calls) B → Silent / hung up — 3% of all inbound (8% of B calls) B → Spam — 33% of all inbound (91% of B calls) C → Real customer — 4% of all inbound (nearly all C calls) C → Silent / hung up — under 1% of all inbound Failed → Real customer — under 1% of all inbound (5% of Failed calls) Failed → Spam — 4% of all inbound (95% of Failed calls) No grade — under 1% of all inbound, too rare to break out No grade — under 1% of all inbound, too rare to break out ALL INBOUND GRADE ON ARRIVAL WHAT THE CALLER WANTED All calls 100% A 55% B 36% C · 4% Failed · 4% No grade · <1% Real customer 51% Silent / hung up 11% Spam 38%

What a spam campaign costs a business

Spam volume is not steady, it arrives in campaigns. That makes the worst month a poor guide to what a business should plan for, and the quietest one just as misleading. Across the last six months of data, the middle of that range looks like this.

~25%of inbound calls are spam in a typical month

under 10%in a quiet month, with no campaign running
~25%in a typical month — the middle of the range
over 70%when a campaign lands and takes over the line

Typical spam call, before the caller was cut off~1 min

Time to get back on task afterwards2-5 min

So every minute spent on a spam call really costs3-6 min

Greet does not charge customers for spam calls and we automatically detect and block them. Customers can still view call logs and audio recordings but the majority of spam calls are prevented from reaching them.

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What attestation does to the price of a spam call

The reason a decade of blocklists ran out of road is that phone numbers are free to a spammer. Spammers don't buy the numbers they call you from they simply claim they own it. A blocklist is useless against a spammer who uses a different number each time, which is precisely what neighbor spoofing does.

We see this in our own numbers. We run a commercial blocklist on every inbound call and it flags about a fifth of the spam we catch. On B graded calls, where most of the spam is, it flags around 3%. It works on callers who own their numbers and does almost nothing against callers rotating spoofed ones.

Attestation changes, because a grade that survives filtering requires actually holding the number you are calling from-bought from a provider that will vouch for you, under a name that provider has checked. Numbers stop being disposable and become inventory.

What one spam call costs to place-assuming a one-minute call
ScenarioNumber / identityVoiceApprox. cost per call
Today-a number they claim$0$0.001/min$0.001
Ahead-a number they own$1/mo$0.001/min$0.001-$0.20

On its own, that is not much of a deterrent. A one-dollar number spread across a large campaign disappears into the rounding. The entire question is how many calls an attested number gets to make before its reputation catches up with it.

Burned after five calls, roughly where velocity limits would catch a classic auto-dialer, the number works out near 20¢ a call-two orders of magnitude above the call itself. Even at a hundred calls, about what an LLM-driven caller needs before it gives itself away, the number is still the dominant cost. Slower than that is bookkeeping rather than enforcement: the calls have already been made.

So attestation alone does not make spam expensive-attestation plus enforcement does. The grade is what makes enforcement possible: it ties traffic to an identity that costs money and paperwork to replace, so reputation and velocity limits finally have something durable to attach to. Get that pairing right and the oldest tool in the box works again-a shared list of known-bad numbers, which now takes real money to evade.

One honest caveat on the dollar figures: the dollar is not really the barrier, and a determined operation will pay it without blinking. The friction that actually bites is what sits behind the number-a provider that has to know its customer, and that can have its own signing token revoked for handing out grades it shouldn't. The cost being imposed is on identity, not on inventory.

Where we think this goes

Robot to robot. The majority of what we field is still cheap pre-recorded audio from auto-dialers cyling thorough local numbers. That is changing. As LLM-driven voice agents fall in price, we are seeing steadily more spam callers who sound and act like actual customers and can actually hold a conversation. For now they remain fairly easy to catch, because they are still reading from the same few dozen scripts the industry has run for a decade (expired auto warranty, unverified Google listing, solar assessment, final-expense policy, back-taxes settlement).

"How to EXPOSE an AI Scammer with one simple trick!" - the kind of tell described above. Expect these to keep getting harder to rely on as the agents improve.

AI answering services like Greet are increasingly taking calls from adversarial agents, we expenct this trend to accelerate. We have a few novel approaches that are working well at scale, and we will write those up in a future post.

The web faced the same structural problem-anyone can claim to be anyone-and solved it the same way, with certificate authorities vouching for identity and browsers trusting the signature rather than the claim. It has not been flawless: an authority was compromised outright in 2011, and a major one was progressively distrusted by browsers in 2017-18 for sloppy issuance. But the model held, because the fix for a bad authority is to stop trusting it, and the ecosystem proved willing to do that. Telephony has the same lever-a provider's token can be revoked, and providers have already appealed revocations to the Commission-and the current rulemaking is largely about being readier to pull it. All considered, HTTPS has worked surprisingly well. That is the outcome to aim at.

Regulators are moving on the unsigned case first. In May 2026 the FCC issued a Further Notice of Proposed Rulemaking (FCC 26-32) that would, among other measures, require providers to block unauthenticated calls delivered directly to them-calls arriving with no signature at all-with an exception for public safety. It also proposes barring providers from routing calls over older networks in order to strip authentication along the way, and tightening the rules on which grade a provider is allowed to apply in the first place.

We suspect all attestion levels outside of A will be blocked within a few years. This will force spam callers to buy legitimate phone numbers spiking costs 10-100x current levels and opening them up to easier legacy spam tracking techniques. Spamers will not give up but instead shift to more sophisticated agent based spam calls. Because the minimum cost of a call will be 10-100x higher the attackers will be able to justify using more expensive agent based appraoch instead of the current pre recorded audio approaches.

For residential customers the solution is much easier than commerical businesses. They can silence or block calls from numbers outside their contact list. But businesses face a much tougher challenge as prospect customers could come from any number of sources.

About this post

Greet answers the phone for small businesses. Every call we handle carries its carrier grade, which lets us compare what the network claimed about a call against what the caller actually turned out to want. The figures here are drawn from a six-month sample, with calls classified from the transcript and outcome of each conversation.

What we withhold. Business identities, customer counts and call volumes are not published, and no figure here is stated in a form that lets you recover them-every number is a share of calls, rounded to the nearest whole percent. Spam classification counts telemarketing, robocalls and known-blocked numbers; silent calls are excluded from the spam figures rather than assumed to be robocalls.

Sources. Robocall volume: Twilio, Trusted Calling with SHAKEN/STIR. Blocklist history: FTC, Robocall Challenge winners (2013). Pending rulemaking and the quoted Commission reasoning on C-level attestation: FCC 26-32, Further Notice of Proposed Rulemaking, WC Docket No. 17-97 / CG Docket No. 17-59, released 21 May 2026.

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